Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.449938 2.678091 2.922787 3.205538 3.524239 3.873475 4.286660
2025-11-09 2.063198 2.362290 2.702852 3.122158 3.628391 4.224778 4.987901
2025-11-16 1.833350 2.168745 2.567282 3.081227 3.734450 4.548038 5.655785
2025-11-23 1.677026 2.035717 2.476696 3.067198 3.850399 4.872937 6.342305
2025-11-30 1.593643 1.979657 2.469004 3.147234 4.083164 5.360909 7.295533
2025-12-07 1.487194 1.882101 2.395329 3.127090 4.170852 5.650860 7.995551
2025-12-14 1.391100 1.789083 2.317639 3.090297 4.225413 5.891173 8.642725
2025-12-21 1.281776 1.669794 2.194140 2.976274 4.153385 5.930590 8.971292
2025-12-28 1.225501 1.618931 2.160763 2.987155 4.264744 6.256445 9.804095
2026-01-04 1.182623 1.583408 2.145573 3.021776 4.412731 6.651663 10.806097
2026-01-11 1.145433 1.553186 2.135148 3.061229 4.569514 7.074592 11.916093
2026-01-18 1.110887 1.524357 2.124210 3.097762 4.722803 7.505203 13.103370
2026-01-25 1.072064 1.487967 2.100937 3.115015 4.849009 7.909071 14.321134
2026-02-01 1.012441 1.417382 2.021373 3.035319 4.801583 7.992819 14.897894
2026-02-08 0.967296 1.366299 1.968848 2.995923 4.820312 8.199913 15.769486
2026-02-15 0.931557 1.327719 1.933542 2.982399 4.883258 8.497087 16.891443
2026-02-22 0.918047 1.322722 1.951027 3.059608 5.118832 9.161965 18.995538
2026-03-01 0.885356 1.285877 1.914766 3.040178 5.169815 9.455078 20.255362
2026-03-08 0.851694 1.245921 1.871236 3.004686 5.186170 9.676145 21.375248
2026-03-15 0.805783 1.184432 1.789124 2.894667 5.046921 9.545428 21.538346
2026-03-22 0.785395 1.163407 1.773711 2.905167 5.149281 9.959765 23.281995
2026-03-29 0.770326 1.150340 1.770952 2.938576 5.300785 10.503841 25.525391
2026-04-05 0.756834 1.139222 1.770827 2.976643 5.465056 11.098974 28.076883